Most Tier 1 contractors are at the early majority stage. They've done the pilots. Some are now rolling out to specific contract types or business units. Here's what's working.
What's working
Narrow, high-value use cases first. The contractors getting results have picked one specific problem, usually compensation event identification or programme monitoring, and built the AI workflow around that. They haven't tried to boil the ocean.
Starting with data hygiene. Before deploying AI, they've standardised their site diary formats, allocation sheet templates, and cost coding. AI applied to clean, consistent data produces dramatically better output than AI applied to five different diary formats from five different sub-contractors.
QS-led implementation. The projects that have gone well have been led by commercial teams, not IT. The QSs define what good output looks like, what the false positive rate is acceptable at, and when to override the AI recommendation. IT enables the data flow. They don't run the implementation.
Treating AI as a junior QS. The most useful mental model I've encountered: treat AI output the way you'd treat work submitted by a capable but inexperienced QS. Review it. Check the reasoning. Don't submit it to the Project Manager without applying professional judgement.
What's not working
Trying to automate everything at once. Teams that deploy AI across 15 functions simultaneously end up with mediocre output across all 15 and no champion for any of them. Focus wins.
Skipping the integration work. AI tools that sit outside your existing data flows require people to enter data twice. People don't do that consistently. Garbage in, garbage out.
Deploying AI without training the commercial team. AI output is only useful if the people receiving it understand what it means and what to do with it. A compensation event flag means nothing to a foreman who doesn't know what a compensation event is.
For earned value management specifically, AI integration follows the same pattern: start with the data layer, establish clean baselines, then add AI analysis on top.